SAN FRANCISCO Venture capitalists invested slightly more money in the
second quarter than they did in the first quarter, heralding a possible
turning point in the industry's three- year slump, according to industry
data to be released Tuesday. The $4.28 billion placed in 669 venture
capital deals during the three months ending in June represented a modest
improvement from the $4.04 billion invested in 647 deals in the quarter
ended in March, according to a survey by PricewaterhouseCoopers, Thomson
Venture Economics and the National Venture Capital Association. It marked
the first time that the nation's venture capital activity had climbed from
the previous quarter since the first three months of 2000 -- a period that
coincided with the stock market's record highs. With the dot-com clamor
reaching a fever pitch, venture capitalists poured $28.6 billion into
2,164 deals in the first quarter of 2000.
The investments in startups have been shriveling ever since as venture
capitalists struggled to cope with huge losses that piled up amid the
rubble of bankrupt high-tech businesses. There's now a sense the worst is
over, helping to make venture capitalists feel more comfortable about
taking on new risks, said Todd Dagres, a general partner with Battery
Ventures. "I think we have turned the corner from pessimism to optimism,"
Dagres said. "Nobody wanted to be out there while the knife was still
falling. I think enough people now believe the knife has stuck in the
ground."
Even with the change in sentiment, venture capital investment still
remains below last year's pace when the industry doled out $21.2 billion
to startups. This year's second-quarter represented a 28 percent drop from
the $5.98 billion invested at the same time last year, according to the
survey data. "We are still in a period where people are very nervous, but
they're not quite as fearful as three or four quarters ago," said Doug
Carlisle, a managing director for Menlo Ventures.
The stock market's robust rally of the past few months is a big reason why
venture capitalists are feeling slightly better. A 21 percent
second-quarter gain in the technology-laden Nasdaq composite index made
venture capitalists feel a little wealthier after three years of mostly
uninterrupted losses. The stock market gains also raised hopes that
investors are becoming more receptive to the initial public offerings of
startups. Venture capitalists depend on IPOs to reap profits from their
investments. "There are reasons to be cautiously optimistic, as long as
the public markets cooperate," said Tracy Lefteroff, global managing
partner of Pricewaterhouse Coopers' venture capital practice.
"With an estimated $70 billion to $80 billion available for future
investments, venture capitalists can't afford to get too excited about the
recent signs of an economic recovery," said Mark Saul, a general partner
with Foundation Capital.
"There's still too much money out there chasing too few good deals," Saul
said. "You don't want a situation where things go from being depressed to
getting giddy. Dramatic mood swings tend not to be helpful in venture
investing."
Venture capitalists are likely to remain circumspect until big companies
increase their budgets and begin buying the software and technology
equipment, said Jess Reyes, a Venture Economics vice president. Based on
the past year of activity, venture capitalists appear to have found a new
equilibrium, with the level of industry investment hovering between $4
billion and $4.4 billion in each of the last four quarters. That's a stark
contract from 2000 when venture capitalist invested $106 billion during
the entire year. This year's second quarter "looks very much like business
as usual, if you forget about the past few years of unusual business,"
said Heidi Roizen, a managing director with Mobius Venture Capital.
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